浙商資產研(yan)究(jiu)院《不良資產行業周報》(第190期)
發布時間: 2021年12月07日 17:30
本期要點:
一、政策動態
(一)習近平主持召開中央(yang)政治局(ju)會議 分析研究2022年經(jing)濟工作
(二)恒大宣(xuan)布無法履約!省(sheng)政府派工作組,一行兩會深夜(ye)發聲(sheng)
(三)央行宣布降準0.5個百(bai)分點,將釋放長期資金約1.2萬億元
二、行業訊息
(一)銀行信(xin)用卡交易風控(kong)持續加碼
(二)再擴容!大連首(shou)家地方持(chi)牌AMC成立
(三)奧(ao)園60億(yi)理財爆(bao)雷(lei),6.5億(yi)美(mei)元債務觸發交(jiao)叉違約
來源:浙商資產(chan)研(yan)究(jiu)院
一、政策動態
(一)習近平主(zhu)持召(zhao)開中央(yang)政治局會議 分析研究(jiu)2022年經(jing)濟工作
中(zhong)共(gong)(gong)中(zhong)央(yang)政(zheng)治(zhi)局12月6日召(zhao)開(kai)(kai)會(hui)(hui)議(yi),分析研究2022年(nian)(nian)經(jing)濟工作;聽取中(zhong)央(yang)紀委國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)(jia)監委工作匯報(bao),研究部署2022年(nian)(nian)黨(dang)(dang)風廉政(zheng)建(jian)設(she)和(he)(he)反腐(fu)敗工作;審議(yi)《中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)共(gong)(gong)產黨(dang)(dang)紀律(lv)檢查委員會(hui)(hui)工作條(tiao)例》。中(zhong)共(gong)(gong)中(zhong)央(yang)總書記習(xi)近平主持會(hui)(hui)議(yi)。會(hui)(hui)議(yi)認為,今年(nian)(nian)是黨(dang)(dang)和(he)(he)國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)(jia)歷史(shi)上具有里程碑意義(yi)的一年(nian)(nian),我們從容應對百年(nian)(nian)變(bian)局和(he)(he)世(shi)紀疫(yi)情,奮(fen)力(li)(li)完成改革發展艱(jian)巨任務(wu),實(shi)現“十(shi)四五”良好開(kai)(kai)局。我國(guo)(guo)(guo)經(jing)濟發展保持全球領(ling)先地位,國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)(jia)戰略科技力(li)(li)量加快發展,產業鏈韌性(xing)和(he)(he)優勢得(de)到提升(sheng),改革開(kai)(kai)放向縱深(shen)推(tui)進,民生保障(zhang)有力(li)(li)有效(xiao),生態文明建(jian)設(she)持續推(tui)進。
會(hui)議(yi)強調,明(ming)年經濟工(gong)作要(yao)(yao)穩字(zi)當頭(tou)、穩中求進(jin)(jin)。宏觀政(zheng)策(ce)(ce)要(yao)(yao)穩健有(you)(you)效,繼續(xu)(xu)(xu)實施積極的(de)(de)財政(zheng)政(zheng)策(ce)(ce)和(he)穩健的(de)(de)貨(huo)幣(bi)政(zheng)策(ce)(ce)。積極的(de)(de)財政(zheng)政(zheng)策(ce)(ce)要(yao)(yao)提(ti)升效能,更加注(zhu)重(zhong)精準、可持續(xu)(xu)(xu)。穩健的(de)(de)貨(huo)幣(bi)政(zheng)策(ce)(ce)要(yao)(yao)靈(ling)活(huo)適度,保持流(liu)動性合(he)理(li)充裕。實施好(hao)(hao)擴大內需戰略,促進(jin)(jin)消費持續(xu)(xu)(xu)恢復(fu),積極擴大有(you)(you)效投資,增強發(fa)(fa)展內生動力。微(wei)觀政(zheng)策(ce)(ce)要(yao)(yao)激(ji)發(fa)(fa)市(shi)場主體活(huo)力。要(yao)(yao)強化(hua)知(zhi)識產(chan)權保護。結構政(zheng)策(ce)(ce)要(yao)(yao)著(zhu)力暢(chang)通(tong)國民經濟循(xun)環,提(ti)升制造業(ye)(ye)核(he)心競爭(zheng)力,增強供應(ying)鏈韌性。要(yao)(yao)推(tui)進(jin)(jin)保障性住房(fang)建設,支持商品房(fang)市(shi)場更好(hao)(hao)滿足購房(fang)者的(de)(de)合(he)理(li)住房(fang)需求,促進(jin)(jin)房(fang)地產(chan)業(ye)(ye)健康發(fa)(fa)展和(he)良(liang)性循(xun)環。科技政(zheng)策(ce)(ce)要(yao)(yao)加快(kuai)落(luo)地,繼續(xu)(xu)(xu)抓(zhua)好(hao)(hao)關鍵核(he)心技術攻關,強化(hua)國家戰略科技力量,強化(hua)企業(ye)(ye)創新(xin)(xin)主體地位,實現科技、產(chan)業(ye)(ye)、金融良(liang)性循(xun)環。改革開放政(zheng)策(ce)(ce)要(yao)(yao)增強發(fa)(fa)展動力,有(you)(you)效推(tui)進(jin)(jin)區域(yu)重(zhong)大戰略和(he)區域(yu)協調發(fa)(fa)展戰略,抓(zhua)好(hao)(hao)要(yao)(yao)素(su)市(shi)場化(hua)配置綜合(he)改革試點,擴大高水平對外開放。社會(hui)政(zheng)策(ce)(ce)要(yao)(yao)兜住民生底線,落(luo)實好(hao)(hao)就業(ye)(ye)優先政(zheng)策(ce)(ce),推(tui)動新(xin)(xin)的(de)(de)生育政(zheng)策(ce)(ce)落(luo)地見效,推(tui)進(jin)(jin)基本養老保險全國統籌,健全常住地提(ti)供基本公(gong)共服務制度。
評(ping)論:2022年經(jing)濟(ji)下行(xing)(xing)壓力(li)較大,近期受到房地產行(xing)(xing)業(ye)的(de)違約壓力(li),人行(xing)(xing)降準50BP以拉抬信用市(shi)場。這說明(ming)國家已經(jing)提前(qian)使用了工具庫中(zhong)的(de)政策工具,則2022年的(de)不確定性可能會(hui)對市(shi)場造成更多更直(zhi)接(jie)的(de)沖擊。
(二)恒大宣布(bu)無法履約(yue)!省政(zheng)府(fu)派工作(zuo)組,一行兩(liang)會深夜發聲(sheng)
恒大(da)(da)集(ji)(ji)團(tuan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)風險(xian)定(ding)調,終于還是沒能等到走(zou)完(wan)2021年魔幻的(de)(de)(de)(de)一(yi)年。周五深夜,恒大(da)(da)集(ji)(ji)團(tuan)在港(gang)交(jiao)所無法履(lv)行擔(dan)(dan)保責任,廣(guang)東省政府和一(yi)行兩會(hui)緊隨(sui)其后悉(xi)數(shu)發聲,一(yi)切看似(si)突(tu)發又充滿“默契”的(de)(de)(de)(de)操(cao)作,快于市(shi)場預期,卻又好似(si)合理:當窟窿已完(wan)全無法填補,公(gong)開違(wei)約(yue)再選擇有(you)序處置,把對市(shi)場的(de)(de)(de)(de)沖擊(ji)降至最低(di),成(cheng)為(wei)(wei)監(jian)管的(de)(de)(de)(de)主要考量(liang)。12月3日晚(wan)八點,恒大(da)(da)在香(xiang)港(gang)聯交(jiao)所公(gong)告稱,未能履(lv)行一(yi)項(xiang)金(jin)額為(wei)(wei)2.6億美元(yuan)擔(dan)(dan)保義務,也意味著(zhu)該企業(ye)集(ji)(ji)團(tuan)192.36億元(yuan)未到期的(de)(de)(de)(de)美元(yuan)債交(jiao)叉違(wei)約(yue)被啟動。晚(wan)上9時(shi)許(xu),廣(guang)東省人民政府率先發布公(gong)告,表示對此高度關(guan)注,當晚(wan)立即約(yue)談了中國恒大(da)(da)集(ji)(ji)團(tuan)實控人許(xu)家印(yin),并應(ying)恒大(da)(da)集(ji)(ji)團(tuan)請求,為(wei)(wei)有(you)效化(hua)解風險(xian),保護各方利益,維(wei)護社會(hui)穩定(ding),廣(guang)東省人民政府同意向恒大(da)(da)地(di)產集(ji)(ji)團(tuan)有(you)限公(gong)司派出工作組,督促推進企業(ye)風險(xian)處置工作,督促切實加強內控管理,維(wei)護正常(chang)經(jing)營。
評(ping)論(lun):恒大(da)選擇放(fang)棄(qi)美(mei)(mei)元債對國(guo)家的影(ying)響要大(da)于放(fang)棄(qi)人民幣債,因(yin)為美(mei)(mei)元債違(wei)約將會沖擊中國(guo)的國(guo)際(ji)信用,直接(jie)影(ying)響其他企業發(fa)行美(mei)(mei)元債或維持(chi)美(mei)(mei)元債評(ping)級的能力,化解恒大(da)的債務違(wei)約風(feng)險(xian)已經上升(sheng)到國(guo)家層(ceng)面。
(三)央行(xing)宣布降準(zhun)0.5個(ge)百分點,將釋放長期資金約1.2萬(wan)億元(yuan)
據(ju)中(zhong)(zhong)國人民(min)(min)銀(yin)行官網(wang)消息,為(wei)(wei)(wei)支(zhi)持實(shi)體經濟發(fa)(fa)展,促進(jin)綜合融(rong)資成(cheng)本穩中(zhong)(zhong)有降(jiang),中(zhong)(zhong)國人民(min)(min)銀(yin)行決定于(yu)2021年12月15日(ri)下(xia)調金(jin)(jin)融(rong)機構(gou)存款準備(bei)金(jin)(jin)率(lv)0.5個百分(fen)點(dian)(不(bu)含已執行5%存款準備(bei)金(jin)(jin)率(lv)的(de)金(jin)(jin)融(rong)機構(gou))。本次(ci)下(xia)調后,金(jin)(jin)融(rong)機構(gou)加(jia)權平均(jun)存款準備(bei)金(jin)(jin)率(lv)為(wei)(wei)(wei)8.4%。中(zhong)(zhong)國人民(min)(min)銀(yin)行將繼續實(shi)施穩健(jian)的(de)貨幣政(zheng)策,堅持穩字(zi)當頭,不(bu)搞大水漫灌,兼顧內外平衡,保持流動性合理充裕,保持貨幣供應量和(he)社會融(rong)資規模增(zeng)速(su)同(tong)名義經濟增(zeng)速(su)基本匹(pi)配,加(jia)強跨(kua)周期調節,統籌做(zuo)好今(jin)明兩年宏觀(guan)政(zheng)策銜接,支(zhi)持中(zhong)(zhong)小企業、綠(lv)色發(fa)(fa)展、科技創(chuang)新,為(wei)(wei)(wei)高質量發(fa)(fa)展和(he)供給側結構(gou)性改(gai)革營造適宜的(de)貨幣金(jin)(jin)融(rong)環境。
評(ping)論:降準后(hou)向社會釋放的流(liu)動(dong)性(xing)能夠適度平緩信用市場的不安情緒,下階段市場的流(liu)動(dong)性(xing)分層(ceng)以(yi)及(ji)對房地產市場的驅離將會減弱,重新拉升信貸市場,維持經濟平穩運行。
二、行業資訊
(一)銀行信用卡交易(yi)風控持續加碼(ma)
近(jin)來(lai)銀(yin)(yin)行(xing)信(xin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)卡資(zi)(zi)(zi)金(jin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)途監(jian)(jian)管(guan)(guan)(guan)持(chi)續(xu)趨嚴,11月份又有3家(jia)銀(yin)(yin)行(xing)因信(xin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)卡透(tou)支資(zi)(zi)(zi)金(jin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)途違(wei)規(gui)(gui)被地方(fang)(fang)監(jian)(jian)管(guan)(guan)(guan)機(ji)(ji)構處(chu)罰。隨(sui)著(zhu)監(jian)(jian)管(guan)(guan)(guan)趨嚴,銀(yin)(yin)行(xing)信(xin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)卡透(tou)支風(feng)(feng)險管(guan)(guan)(guan)控也(ye)在持(chi)續(xu)升級。有銀(yin)(yin)行(xing)信(xin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)卡業(ye)務(wu)人(ren)士透(tou)露,信(xin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)卡透(tou)支資(zi)(zi)(zi)金(jin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)途風(feng)(feng)控的(de)考核(he)壓力大,單筆(bi)信(xin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)卡交(jiao)易(yi)的(de)資(zi)(zi)(zi)金(jin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)途監(jian)(jian)測力度持(chi)續(xu)增強,尤其收單方(fang)(fang)涉(she)及(ji)到房(fang)地產(chan)相關機(ji)(ji)構的(de),即便單筆(bi)交(jiao)易(yi)額僅千元(yuan),也(ye)會(hui)要(yao)求持(chi)卡人(ren)提(ti)供交(jiao)易(yi)證明等補充資(zi)(zi)(zi)料。近(jin)日又有3家(jia)銀(yin)(yin)行(xing)因信(xin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)卡透(tou)支資(zi)(zi)(zi)金(jin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)途不(bu)合規(gui)(gui)或未盡職核(he)查資(zi)(zi)(zi)金(jin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)途等問(wen)題被地方(fang)(fang)銀(yin)(yin)保監(jian)(jian)局處(chu)罰。據銀(yin)(yin)保監(jian)(jian)會(hui)官網公告顯示(shi), 僅6月份以來(lai)有30余份信(xin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)卡資(zi)(zi)(zi)金(jin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)途違(wei)規(gui)(gui)的(de)處(chu)罰罰單,涉(she)及(ji)銀(yin)(yin)行(xing)近(jin)10家(jia),分期業(ye)務(wu)貸后管(guan)(guan)(guan)理不(bu)到位或投資(zi)(zi)(zi)資(zi)(zi)(zi)金(jin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)于非消費領域等問(wen)題成(cheng)為監(jian)(jian)管(guan)(guan)(guan)處(chu)罰重(zhong)(zhong)災區(qu)。某銀(yin)(yin)行(xing)信(xin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)卡中心市場業(ye)務(wu)人(ren)士表示(shi),資(zi)(zi)(zi)金(jin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)途不(bu)合規(gui)(gui)是近(jin)來(lai)信(xin)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)卡風(feng)(feng)控最重(zhong)(zhong)要(yao)的(de)關注(zhu)方(fang)(fang)向,一直以來(lai)銀(yin)(yin)行(xing)對商(shang)戶(hu)POS機(ji)(ji)刷卡碼、線上支付(fu)結算交(jiao)易(yi)等都會(hui)進行(xing)風(feng)(feng)險監(jian)(jian)測,近(jin)來(lai)這種監(jian)(jian)測力度和范圍(wei)更大。
評論:信(xin)用卡(ka)套現用于房(fang)(fang)地產炒(chao)作(zuo)首付是近年來常(chang)有的違規操作(zuo),參與信(xin)用卡(ka)套現的多為(wei)房(fang)(fang)產中介或(huo)職業(ye)炒(chao)房(fang)(fang)客(ke),這(zhe)些閑(xian)散(san)游離資(zi)金會集(ji)資(zi)炒(chao)房(fang)(fang)。打擊游資(zi)炒(chao)房(fang)(fang)有利(li)于壓(ya)降房(fang)(fang)價泡沫,為(wei)剛(gang)需人士讓路。
(二)再擴容!大連首家地(di)方持牌AMC成立
近日,中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)新(xin)(xin)聯合大(da)連(lian)(lian)(lian)(lian)有(you)(you)(you)(you)關國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)企(qi)(qi)發(fa)起設立的(de)大(da)連(lian)(lian)(lian)(lian)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)新(xin)(xin)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)管理(li)有(you)(you)(you)(you)限(xian)(xian)(xian)責(ze)任(ren)公(gong)(gong)司正式(shi)注(zhu)冊(ce)(ce)成立,并獲準(zhun)開(kai)展(zhan)金融(rong)(rong)企(qi)(qi)業(ye)(ye)(ye)不良資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)批量收(shou)購處置業(ye)(ye)(ye)務(wu)(wu)(wu),成為大(da)連(lian)(lian)(lian)(lian)市(shi)唯一具(ju)有(you)(you)(you)(you)金融(rong)(rong)企(qi)(qi)業(ye)(ye)(ye)不良資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)批量收(shou)購處置業(ye)(ye)(ye)務(wu)(wu)(wu)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)質(zhi)的(de)地方資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)管理(li)公(gong)(gong)司。據了(le)解,大(da)連(lian)(lian)(lian)(lian)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)新(xin)(xin)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)注(zhu)冊(ce)(ce)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)本(ben)20億元。中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)新(xin)(xin)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)管理(li)有(you)(you)(you)(you)限(xian)(xian)(xian)公(gong)(gong)司、大(da)連(lian)(lian)(lian)(lian)融(rong)(rong)達投(tou)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)有(you)(you)(you)(you)限(xian)(xian)(xian)責(ze)任(ren)公(gong)(gong)司、大(da)連(lian)(lian)(lian)(lian)高(gao)新(xin)(xin)區(qu)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)(ye)創業(ye)(ye)(ye)投(tou)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)有(you)(you)(you)(you)限(xian)(xian)(xian)公(gong)(gong)司分別持股(gu)45%、45%、10%。聯合發(fa)起設立大(da)連(lian)(lian)(lian)(lian)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)新(xin)(xin)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan),是中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)新(xin)(xin)貫徹落(luo)實黨中(zhong)央(yang)(yang)、國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)務(wu)(wu)(wu)院關于振(zhen)興東北老工業(ye)(ye)(ye)基地、防范化(hua)解金融(rong)(rong)風險(xian)(xian)和國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)務(wu)(wu)(wu)院國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)委積(ji)極(ji)推(tui)動(dong)央(yang)(yang)地融(rong)(rong)合發(fa)展(zhan)、促進國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)企(qi)(qi)深化(hua)改革的(de)戰略舉措,也是豐(feng)富中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)新(xin)(xin)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)管理(li)功能作(zuo)用、打造國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)有(you)(you)(you)(you)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)本(ben)運(yun)營(ying)升(sheng)級版的(de)有(you)(you)(you)(you)力(li)(li)抓手。中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)新(xin)(xin)將立足更好發(fa)揮國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)有(you)(you)(you)(you)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)本(ben)運(yun)營(ying)公(gong)(gong)司平(ping)臺(tai)優(you)勢,指導推(tui)動(dong)大(da)連(lian)(lian)(lian)(lian)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)新(xin)(xin)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)有(you)(you)(you)(you)效整合央(yang)(yang)地資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)源,以市(shi)場化(hua)、法治化(hua)、專業(ye)(ye)(ye)化(hua)手段(duan)打造不良資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)處置盤(pan)活(huo)特色業(ye)(ye)(ye)務(wu)(wu)(wu)模式(shi),服務(wu)(wu)(wu)區(qu)域經濟(ji)社會發(fa)展(zhan),服務(wu)(wu)(wu)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)央(yang)(yang)企(qi)(qi)深化(hua)改革、轉型升(sheng)級,形(xing)成立足大(da)連(lian)(lian)(lian)(lian)、輻射全國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)的(de)業(ye)(ye)(ye)務(wu)(wu)(wu)格局(ju),為化(hua)解金融(rong)(rong)風險(xian)(xian)、服務(wu)(wu)(wu)實體經濟(ji)高(gao)質(zhi)量發(fa)展(zhan)做出積(ji)極(ji)貢(gong)獻,力(li)(li)爭成為具(ju)有(you)(you)(you)(you)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)有(you)(you)(you)(you)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)本(ben)運(yun)營(ying)公(gong)(gong)司鮮明特色和領(ling)先優(you)勢的(de)頭(tou)部(bu)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)管理(li)公(gong)(gong)司。
評論(lun):原先僅有浙江和廣東設置了(le)地市一級的AMC,但隨著進一步擴張,地方(fang)AMC有放開牌照,社會化參與的趨勢。從這個角度來看,下一步會放開地方(fang)AMC的非主業全(quan)國展業權(quan)限,地方(fang)AMC可(ke)各自發(fa)展出(chu)各具特(te)色的重整重組業務(wu)。
(三)奧園60億(yi)理(li)財爆(bao)雷,6.5億(yi)美元債務觸發(fa)交叉違(wei)約(yue)
中(zhong)國奧(ao)園(yuan)約(yue)60億(yi)元理財“爆雷”之后數小(xiao)時,12月(yue)(yue)(yue)2日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)晚間(jian),公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)又公(gong)(gong)(gong)告(gao)金額(e)6.512億(yi)美(mei)元的債(zhai)(zhai)務因(yin)評(ping)(ping)級(ji)(ji)(ji)下(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)觸發交叉違約(yue),被債(zhai)(zhai)權(quan)人(ren)要求提前償(chang)(chang)還。后續,很可能有更(geng)多(duo)債(zhai)(zhai)權(quan)人(ren)“根據彼等各(ge)自(zi)的融資安(an)排(pai)條款(kuan)(kuan)(kuan)(kuan)要求支付債(zhai)(zhai)務及采取行動(dong)”。從10月(yue)(yue)(yue)份開始(shi),各(ge)大(da)國際評(ping)(ping)級(ji)(ji)(ji)巨頭就對中(zhong)國奧(ao)園(yuan)預警(jing)并下(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)評(ping)(ping)級(ji)(ji)(ji),一(yi)(yi)定程度上(shang)導(dao)致中(zhong)國奧(ao)園(yuan)出(chu)現頻繁(fan)的“股債(zhai)(zhai)雙殺”,進入11月(yue)(yue)(yue)評(ping)(ping)級(ji)(ji)(ji)下(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)更(geng)為(wei)密集,一(yi)(yi)個月(yue)(yue)(yue)內下(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)了(le)五次(ci)。簡(jian)單(dan)回顧一(yi)(yi)下(xia)(xia),2021年(nian)10月(yue)(yue)(yue)15日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri),標普首先將(jiang)公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)評(ping)(ping)級(ji)(ji)(ji)由B+下(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)至(zhi)B,之后于(yu)2021年(nian)11月(yue)(yue)(yue)16日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)下(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)至(zhi)CCC。2021年(nian)11月(yue)(yue)(yue)3日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri),惠譽將(jiang)公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)評(ping)(ping)級(ji)(ji)(ji)由BB下(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)至(zhi)B+,之后于(yu)2021年(nian)11月(yue)(yue)(yue)19日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)下(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)至(zhi)B-,再于(yu)2021年(nian)11月(yue)(yue)(yue)24日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)下(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)至(zhi)CCC-。2021年(nian)11月(yue)(yue)(yue)5日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri),穆(mu)迪將(jiang)公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)評(ping)(ping)級(ji)(ji)(ji)由B1下(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)至(zhi)B2,之后于(yu)2021年(nian)11月(yue)(yue)(yue)22日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)下(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)至(zhi)Caa2。12月(yue)(yue)(yue)2日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)晚,中(zhong)國奧(ao)園(yuan)公(gong)(gong)(gong)告(gao),評(ping)(ping)級(ji)(ji)(ji)下(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)導(dao)致公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)及其成員企(qi)業作為(wei)借款(kuan)(kuan)(kuan)(kuan)人(ren)或擔保(bao)人(ren)的若干(gan)境外融資觸發違約(yue)條款(kuan)(kuan)(kuan)(kuan)。公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)接獲(huo)債(zhai)(zhai)權(quan)人(ren)通知,本金總額(e)為(wei)約(yue)6.512億(yi)美(mei)元(約(yue)合人(ren)民幣42億(yi)元)的融資因(yin)評(ping)(ping)級(ji)(ji)(ji)下(xia)(xia)調(diao)(diao)(diao)而要求償(chang)(chang)還,于(yu)公(gong)(gong)(gong)告(gao)日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)公(gong)(gong)(gong)司(si)(si)未付款(kuan)(kuan)(kuan)(kuan)或就替代(dai)付款(kuan)(kuan)(kuan)(kuan)安(an)排(pai)與上(shang)述債(zhai)(zhai)權(quan)人(ren)達成協(xie)議(yi)。
評論:房地(di)產(chan)企(qi)業在發行債(zhai)(zhai)務時通常會設置交叉違約條款,實(shi)質(zhi)(zhi)上是(shi)提(ti)高了(le)債(zhai)(zhai)項之間的相關(guan)性,這有利于債(zhai)(zhai)務投資人提(ti)前支取違約損(sun)(sun)失(shi),壓低債(zhai)(zhai)務定價。在房地(di)產(chan)企(qi)業發生實(shi)質(zhi)(zhi)違約時,債(zhai)(zhai)務人則(ze)會遭受(shou)連帶損(sun)(sun)失(shi)。
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